Boursee›Daily Brief›Edition #113
Market Analysis · General information only · Not personalised investment adviceData may be delayed · Published Tue 29 Sep 2026 by Boursee EditorialSee full disclaimer →
IBEX 35Macro

European Equities Rise Across the Board as Brent Crude Slides Below $97

Tuesday, 29 September 2026⏱ 4 min readEdition #113

Opening

European equities advanced broadly on Wednesday, with the OMX Nordic leading regional gains at +1.13% to 3317.2, outpacing a solid but more measured rally across Frankfurt, Amsterdam, and Madrid. The DAX added 0.67% to close at 25544.8, while the CAC 40 trailed its peers with a modest 0.23% gain to 8097.4. The euro softened 0.21% against the dollar to 1.1349, a move that warrants attention for European investors with unhedged dollar-denominated exposures, as continued euro weakness would compress returns on US assets when repatriated.

Brent crude slipped 1.06% to $96.79, offering modest relief to energy-intensive European manufacturers and easing inflationary pressure on input costs. Gold's 0.50% advance to $4,189.30 signals persistent risk aversion among institutional investors, a sentiment likely to weigh on rate-sensitive European equities and cap gains in cyclicals.

Key stock move

ASML surged 3.60% to €1,592.40, leading European equity markets as the Dutch semiconductor equipment maker extended its recovery amid sustained demand signals from chipmakers. The AEX-listed stock outpaced broader index gains, with Siemens (+2.30%) and AstraZeneca (+1.70%) also advancing, while TotalEnergies fell 2.14% to €78.29, bucking the positive tone on softer energy sentiment.

Macro–Equity Bridge

Brent Crude −1.06% at $96.79 → TotalEnergies (TTE.PA): upstream revenue shrinks directly with oil price; stock already down 2.14% confirming pass-through EUR/USD −0.21% at 1.1349 → ASML (ASML.AS), Siemens (SIE.DE): modest dollar strength lifts euro-translated US-dollar revenues on repatriation OMX Nordic +1.13%, leading European gains → Ericsson (ERIC B.ST): Nordic outperformance draws flow into large-cap tech; telecom capex cycle re-rating supports move Gold +0.50% at $4,189.30 → AstraZeneca (AZN.L): defensive bid rotates into non-cyclical large-caps as haven demand rises alongside pharma's rate-insensitive earnings profile

What to watch today

Brent crude at 96.79 keeps pressure on energy-sensitive sectors across European bourses, with refinery margins and airline stocks likely to draw particular attention at the open. EUR/USD at 1.1349 positions the euro at its strongest range in recent months, a headwind for export-heavy DAX constituents reporting in dollars. Traders will monitor any ECB commentary for signals on whether policymakers view the currency's strength as a complicating factor for the inflation trajectory.

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Mon 28 Sep 2026
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